Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001929 0.002049 0.002173 0.002311 0.002461 0.002618 0.002797
2025-04-20 0.001697 0.001858 0.002031 0.002232 0.002461 0.002712 0.003010
2025-04-27 0.001593 0.001786 0.002001 0.002259 0.002561 0.002907 0.003336
2025-05-04 0.001529 0.001750 0.002001 0.002310 0.002685 0.003129 0.003698
2025-05-11 0.001490 0.001734 0.002019 0.002380 0.002829 0.003377 0.004104
2025-05-18 0.001433 0.001693 0.002002 0.002402 0.002911 0.003548 0.004421
2025-05-25 0.001352 0.001616 0.001935 0.002355 0.002901 0.003600 0.004581
2025-06-01 0.001290 0.001559 0.001890 0.002331 0.002916 0.003681 0.004781
2025-06-08 0.001254 0.001531 0.001878 0.002348 0.002984 0.003833 0.005085
2025-06-15 0.001203 0.001484 0.001837 0.002325 0.002994 0.003905 0.005280
2025-06-22 0.001160 0.001443 0.001803 0.002308 0.003012 0.003986 0.005489
2025-06-29 0.001121 0.001406 0.001773 0.002294 0.003030 0.004069 0.005704
2025-07-06 0.001070 0.001354 0.001725 0.002256 0.003022 0.004123 0.005897
2025-07-13 0.001006 0.001282 0.001645 0.002174 0.002945 0.004071 0.005923
2025-07-20 0.000983 0.001265 0.001642 0.002197 0.003023 0.004255 0.006336
2025-07-27 0.000972 0.001262 0.001656 0.002246 0.003141 0.004507 0.006884
2025-08-03 0.000966 0.001268 0.001683 0.002314 0.003290 0.004817 0.007556
2025-08-10 0.000947 0.001253 0.001678 0.002334 0.003366 0.005014 0.008051
2025-08-17 0.000909 0.001210 0.001632 0.002289 0.003337 0.005035 0.008228
2025-08-24 0.000880 0.001178 0.001601 0.002266 0.003340 0.005110 0.008510
2025-08-31 0.000863 0.001165 0.001596 0.002283 0.003409 0.005299 0.009025
2025-09-07 0.000837 0.001136 0.001567 0.002260 0.003410 0.005373 0.009320
2025-09-14 0.000814 0.001111 0.001542 0.002244 0.003422 0.005462 0.009655